The worldwide political changes of 2017 will benefit China by increasing its political and economic influence in Asia and around the world. China’s new dominance and strategic alliances will influence the future of international student mobility.

It would be easy to focus an article about the impressive rise of China’s higher education system and the impact of Chinese students on international mobility patterns.

The numbers are dazzling.

In 2017, more than 700,000 Chinese students will study abroad: some will study in high schools and colleges, others will study abroad for a shorter period of time, perhaps for language study. According to an April 22, 2017 article in The Economist, 57 percent of Chinese parents would like to send their children abroad for study.

But this is not an article about increasing Chinese student numbers. This article is an attempt to look to the future and how China can emerge as a higher education superpower in the coming years.

Columnist Ian Bremer predicts that American international leadership, a constant since 1945, will end this year. The US has become the single biggest source of international uncertainty, creating a void that China is eager to fill.

Xi Jingping, China’s most powerful leader since Deng Xiaoping, has been called the chairman of everything. His policies have ushered in a new territorial assertiveness as evidenced by recent events. The fawning reception he received in January at the World Economic Forum in Davos signaled the importance of the Chinese president on the world stage. And the chairman did not disappoint. He presented himself and his country as champions for globalization and open markets and he suggested that China should guide economic globalization in the future. Mr. Xi’s frequently referred to the “Chinese dream of the great revival of the Chinese nation.”

Contrast these sentiments with the inward-looking policies of the United States and it is easy to understand why Xi’s comments were not lost on the attendees of the World Economic Forum. Nor were they lost on countries in Asia, such as Thailand, the Philippines and Malaysia.

On May 14,th 2017 the first Belt and Road Forum was held in Beijing. This initiative boasts spending $150 billion on infrastructure projects in countries to the south and west of China, along the historical Silk Road. The overarching aim of the project is to construct a network of ports, railways and pipelines that will plug China into economic hubs across Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.

The founding of the Asian Universities Alliance, on April 29th, with an initial membership of 15 universities from across the region, has initial funding of $1.5 million from Tsinghua University and is an example of China flexing its higher education muscles.

Joining Tsinghua University are several academic powerhouses in the region, including Peking University, the University of Tokyo, Seoul National University, the National University of Singapore and the University of Malaysia.

In addition to promoting student and faculty mobility within Asia, the organization also aims to promote collaborative research among member institutions. Chinese Vice-Premier Liu Yandong delivered the keynote address at the opening ceremony and predicted that the Asian Universities Alliance will “Resolve regional and global problems and bring together outstanding talents with an international perspective to serve regional development.”

According to Yoichi Funabashi, chairman of the Tokyo-based think tank; Rebuild Japan Initiative Foundation, China can and will use its economic pull to draw Asian countries into its geopolitical orbit. Inevitably, political and economic ties eventually translate into educational ties.

Joseph Nye, who coined the term “soft power” in 1990, would agree that China’s initiatives are good examples of making “soft power” investments that really are expressions of hard power.

What does this mean for the future of international student enrollment in the United States? It is my opinion that if, and when, US policies change, it will still take a long time to untangle current perceptions and realities. International deans and recruiters will have to accept the reality of the increasing importance of China’s educational prowess and adjust future strategic plans accordingly.

There will be opportunities for U.S. colleges and universities in the new world order. But these opportunities will demand a different way of recruiting from today’s standard procedures. International deans and recruiters will have to think differently and will have to focus more on collaboration and less on the go-it-alone strategies many schools use today.

Strategic plans written last year or this year should be scrapped in full or in part. New plans should be written taking into account that what was once certain with regard to international student mobility patterns, are now uncertain.

Beyond the corridors of today lies a new world order.

Author

Marguerite Dennis
President
MJDennis Consulting

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